Every year, tropical storms and hurricanes pose a significant threat to the Caribbean and Puerto Rico. Beyond physical damage, these events can paralyze operations, disrupt supply chains, and put personnel at risk.
For businesses, storm season is not just a climate concern, but a direct test of their resilience and planning capabilities.
When is storm season in 2025?
The Atlantic storm season begins on June 1 and ends on November 30. Although any month can bring cyclonic activity, August and September are historically the most active, accounting for around 70% of the most intense events.
Specifically, for 2025, peak activity is expected to occur between August 15 and September 20, according to projections from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and NOAA. This year, oceanic and atmospheric conditions point to a more active than normal season, with potential risk even before and after the official peak.
Storm forecast for 2025 in Puerto Rico
For Puerto Rico, between 14 and 18 named storms are expected to form or indirectly impact the island, with the possibility of up to 9 becoming hurricanes and at least 3 reaching major hurricane status (category 3 or higher). The southern and eastern regions, along with industrial coastal areas, remain the most vulnerable.
Storm forecast for 2025 in the Caribbean
In the rest of the Caribbean, between 16 and 20 tropical storms are projected, with a high risk for the Lesser Antilles, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Bahamas. Experts also note that the eastern Caribbean islands and the northern coast of Central America could experience severe conditions, especially during peaks of atmospheric humidity in August.
Regions at greatest risk in 2025
The areas most likely to be impacted during the 2025 storm season include:
- Puerto Rico (especially the south, east, and coastal industrial areas such as Guayama, Yabucoa, Ponce, Peñuelas, and the San Juan metropolitan area).
- Lesser Antilles (Saint Lucia, Dominica, Barbados, Grenada).
- Dominican Republic (northern and eastern coast).
- Bahamas, Jamaica, and Haiti.
- Coasts of Florida, Louisiana, and Texas (secondary impacts from the storm’s path).
In addition, there has been an increase in extreme events in urban and coastal areas, where industrial development requires more rigorous logistical preparation.
Storm forecasting: current technologies and tools
Thanks to technological advances, there are now tools that allow us to anticipate and prepare more accurately for storm season. Among the most notable are:
- Numerical prediction models and Doppler radar.
- GOES geostationary satellites with real-time updates.
- NOAA Hurricane Tracker, ideal for tracking storms.
Puerto Rico has advanced technologies for storm detection and monitoring, such as Doppler radars, multi-sensor analysis systems, and early warning platforms. The WSR-88D Doppler radar, located in Cayey, provides accurate coverage of the entire island, while the National Weather Service in San Juan adapts and issues alerts based on data from NOAA and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC).
These tools enable effective surveillance and timely issuance of warnings, which are essential for the safety of the population and the operational continuity of businesses.
Business prevention and preparedness measures for the storm season
An effective business strategy for dealing with the storm season should include:
- Risk assessment. Identify vulnerabilities and review the location and accessibility of distribution centers, offices, and plants.
- Emergency plan adapted to tornadoes. Establish protocols and create an emergency communication system.
- Drills and training. Conduct regular training.
- Communication with critical suppliers. Ensure agreements with strategic suppliers and have updated contact lists and joint contingency plans.
- Energy planning and fuel supply. Check the status of generators and ensure the supply of diesel, oils, and lubricants.
- Maintenance of essential inventories.
At American Petroleum, we understand that your operation cannot stop during storm season. That’s why we offer comprehensive energy solutions for businesses of all sizes:
- Supply of diesel and gasoline in emergency situations.
- Rental of storage tanks and portable or wheeled service stations.
- Supply of oils, lubricants, and specialized products for equipment.
- Rental of trucks for fuel delivery.
Our team is prepared to respond quickly and accurately to any emergency. We take a preventive approach so that your company is ready before the storm hits.
At American Petroleum, we help your company protect its operations, maintain productivity, and act with foresight. Schedule a free personalized assessment today and discover how we can strengthen your contingency plan.
Contact us and keep your business running, no matter the situation. For more information, visit https://americanpetroleumpr.com/en/emergency-management/
Sources consulted:
- “2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast.” AccuWeather, https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- “Storm Prediction Center.” National Weather Service, NOAA, https://www.spc.noaa.gov/. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- “Business Emergency Preparedness Social Media Toolkit.” Federal Emergency Management Agency, https://www.ready.gov/business. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- National Hurricane Center. “Tropical Cyclone Climatology.” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- National Weather Service San Juan. “Radar de Puerto Rico (TJUA).” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://www.weather.gov/sju/. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- NOAA Climate Prediction Center. “2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- Servicio Nacional de Meteorología – San Juan. “Temporada de Huracanes y Preparación.” weather.gov/sju, https://www.weather.gov/sju/. Accessed 6 June 2025.
- World Meteorological Organization. “Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF).” WMO Regional Climate Centre, https://rcc.cimh.edu.bb/. Accessed 6 June 2025.